Derby della Mole: Torino vs Juventus Head-to-Head Record

The Derby della Mole is the most lopsided major derby in this database. Across 45 recorded meetings, Juventus have won 29, Torino 3, with 13 draws. Torino's win rate in their own city derby is under 7%.

The head-to-head record

For comparison, the average away side across all competitions wins 29.2% of the time. Torino against Juventus is roughly four times worse than being a generic away team — a gap that reflects three decades of the two clubs operating at different levels rather than anything about derby day.

But the recent run is not that

The all-time number is dominated by a long stretch in which Juventus were among Europe's strongest sides and Torino were not. The last three meetings:

Three draws in a row. That is exactly the trap a head-to-head record sets: a 29–3 ledger looks like a settled question, while the actual recent fixture has been producing stalemates. A long head-to-head record measures history, not the next match — and the further back it stretches, the less it describes the two teams who will walk out next time.

Why derbies drift toward draws when the gap closes

There is a real mechanism here rather than just noise. Derbies are chaotic — more fouls, more cards, more broken play — and chaos compresses quality gaps by reducing the number of clean possessions in which the better team can be better. When the underlying gap is enormous, chaos is not enough to save the underdog. When the gap narrows, chaos plus motivation is often enough to produce a draw.

That is consistent with what the three most recent meetings show, and it is checkable: compare the card and foul counts in these fixtures against each club's season average in the Game Statistics Explorer.

Explore the numbers

Torino · Juventus · Serie A records · Head to Head tool